Predictions 2017: American University’s School of Public Affairs
I would say for 2017 there is just a lot of uncertainty. We can expect a lot of surprises. I predict that in 2017 the healthcare reform known as Obamacare will grow both in popularity and in terms of enrollments. In 2017 I believe that the U.S. system of checks and balances will be pushed in a way that it hasn’t been pushed since the Nixon years in terms of presidential power. I expect we will see an intense focus and rhetoric associated with accountability of elected officials and corporate America in ways we haven’t seen in decades. The federal debt is growing and it will continue to grow and so that will be a challenge for the administration going forward. I predict that states are going to take minimum wages into their own hands. We won’t see federal minimum wages likely increase, but we’ll continue to see action in the local and state level. I think we’ll see probably some incremental steps that will sort of go in the direction of securing orders but I don’t expect to see any sort of broad scale moves against Muslims or against illegal immigrants generally. In 2017 I think that the Department of Education’s Office of Civil Rights will take a less active role in collecting data and looking into racial disparities. We should expect to see a very involved First Daughter and other members of the family to be participating in White House life. My prediction for 2017 is that we begin to talk more and more and hear more and more about implicit bias, also known as unconscious bias, in schools and in the criminal justice system as well as in the labor market more generally. We’ve worked hard to bring diversity to organizations and now we’re going to have to figure out how to really make sure we’re getting the benefits of diversity. For the first time, we have a Republican President-elect who has a maternity leave plan and a childcare plan. They’re both very expensive so I don’t anticipate the Republican Congress acting on it. Domestically, you are going to see more protests probably more violent responses from the U.S. government and law enforcement officials. Internationally, we expect that world leaders are going to want to challenge President-elect Trump, and they want to see where is words stop in his actions begin. I think the only thing we can say for sure is that we are not 100% sure what’s going to happen. And that’s a very frustrating thing to say, but it’s the truth.