Bernie and Elizabeth Warren WINNING!!!

Bernie and Elizabeth Warren WINNING!!!

August 31, 2019 100 By Stanley Isaacs


>>A major poll indicates that both Bernie
Sanders and Elizabeth Warren are now leading in the Democratic primary. Now, this is a Monmouth University poll that
shows that they are beating Joe Biden, who has been the front runner. And they’re beating him by one point. The Monmouth University poll released Monday
shows Sanders and Warren Deadlocked among Democratic voters at 20%, with Biden a point
behind at 19%. No other candidate cracks double digits. That includes Kamala Harris, who is in fourth
place, at 8%>>All right, you guys ready?>>Ladies and gentlemen, we got him.>>Down goes Biden, okay, I’m just kidding,
I’m just kidding, so->>Okay, so one of the worst mistakes anyone
can make->>Is to get too confident, and I don’t want
people to get confident. With that said, this is great news, because
there are giant changes in the poll results for these candidates. So, if you just go back a little bit, the
same polling organization found something very different, just last month.>>Hold on, so before we show you the massive
changes that have come forward, I wanna tell you two things we’re gonna do afterwards. One, Nate Silver has decided this poll doesn’t
count. Hilarious, hilarious, okay? By the way, if you don’t know Washington,
you’d think, my god, that sounds so preposterous, right? He’s kidding or something, right? No, no, everybody in Washington is already
been a couple of polls showing Elizabeth Warren making huge rise, Biden falling back a lot. The other polls had Sanders rising a little
bit or staying even. Now, this poll shows him rising as well. They literally don’t believe any of those
polls. I know people talking to them internally,
where people in Washington are like, well that obviously isn’t true. Because no one I know, all my friends say
it isn’t true. So Americans are wrong, okay. So they actually believe this stuff. Now we’re going to show you the massive movements,
and afterwards I’m gonna tell you I’m going to show you a fun told you clip, that’s always
hilarious, okay? Right, and but I do want to say before we
get too far removed from my down goes Biden joke, largely joke but it’s on its way, is
that. Look, in all seriousness, this poll is a statistical
tie. So you shouldn’t say things are statistical
ties only when it’s to your advantage. And a lot of headlines do say tie. Now, not all of them said tie when Biden was
up by a point, which happened recently, but overall a lot of them did say tie etc, and
this poll does have a 5.7% margin the which is significant.>>Yes.>>So look at the overall movements. So don’t be like Nate and not look at the
overall movement, and go I don’t see it, I don’t see it right. His new excuse is, no, it has to be after
a major event, otherwise the poll doesn’t count.>>Yeah, I know, we’re gonna get to him in
just a second.>>Okay, okay, hold on, so just to finish
up on that. But it definitely does count. At the same time, it’s of course not to end
all and be all. It’s one poll, it is going along with the
rest of the polls showing similar movements. But it doesn’t mean that they have taken the
lead for good. We’ll talk more about that in the second.>>Yes, I agree with you. I think that the biggest take away from this
poll is that the very same polling organization in late June found very different numbers
for the progressive candidates. So let me give you the pass numbers and again
this is the poll from June. Compared with the Monmouth University poll
in June, Sanders has picked up six points and Warren five points. Biden dropped 13 points from 32% in June,
so he went from 32% in 19%. And we’re comparing apples to apples. It’s the same organization doing the polling. Also, Biden is down 14 points among white
and nonwhite voters.>>And that would be everyone.>>Yeah, I know. It’s a really weird way of putting it.>>No, no. It makes sense. Because they say his strength is white votes.>>Yeah.>>But sometimes they’ll turn around and say
his strength is African American borders in place, like South Carolina, and his town was
both across the board. So there’s no where to hide. He’s lost in almost every category as Ana
will continue to explain.>>Exactly. So, he’s down 14 points among white and nonwhite
voters. He’s also down 14 points among men, 13 points
among women. He’s down 15 points among voters younger than
50 years old, which doesn’t surprise me, and 9% among voters 50 and older, so across the
board, Biden has seen a decrease in his poll numbers. And it is fascinating to hear some of the
moderates in the media try to dismiss this type of polling. And just going back to Nate Silver, I do wanna
read you his tweet in response to this because it was just fascinating. He says, let’s go to graphic six, the “advanced”
skill in polling analysis most people miss is that you should be much more inclined to
believe there’s been shift in the polls after big news or campaign events (e.g. Debates) and much less inclined to do so when
there hasn’t been. So two things I want to just mention off the
bat. First of all, there was a debate in June.>>Yep.>>I mean, did you forget about that? And secondly, there were other things sprinkled
throughout the last poll and today’s poll. And those things included Biden saying all
sorts of nonsensical, crazy statements. One of the latest ones that we haven’t covered
on the show yet. He gave a speech where he talked about, what
would it have been like if Obama had been assassinated? He has these weird moments that I think are
really starting to hurt him, politically.>>No, I mean, look, I’m worried about Biden,
and I don’t mean in a fake kind of way. I’m concerned about him, let’s now talk about
how his mental state and bury him. No, I’m worried about him as a person. If he was the candidate, I’d be massively
worried for the Democratic Party. I mean, look, he was just in New Hampshire
and he said, what a beautiful state Vermont is. Now, if that was the only slip-up, you’d say,
that’s no big deal at all, right? And I always remember the theorists, let’s
put them that way, that thought that Hillary Clinton had an aneurysm and had brain damage. And it was a lot of people on the right wing
but also some blokes in the left wing, okay? And that was never true, and there was never
any evidence of that. And faced with overwhelming evidence that
her mental state is fine now, they still won’t give in because some people lose their minds
when it comes to politics and bias etc. So with Biden, if it was just one data point,
okay. But now, guys, he’s done it over and over
again, with so-called gaffes, and the poor kids can be like white kids. And you’ve heard at least half a dozen significant
ones. But of the Vermont-New Hampshire one, you’re
campaigning in New Hampshire, New Hampshire’s one of the first two states. Confusing it with Vermont when you’re that
season to politician that is really weird. And so these, so I give you that in the context
of what Anna just said which is no need. All this has happened since the last day there’s
been two debates. And the polls moved after the second debate
clearly in favor Warren and Sanders and more importantly against Biden. And then there was one poll that showed that
no Biden had regained the lead and of course all the mainstream media isn’t buying the
side. So they do propaganda on his behalf 24/7 after
the debates for several weeks, but then he kept making these huge gaps that are making
big news. So there’s plenty of reasons to believe this
poll and two others that are similar to it are real. But when anyone in the establishment including
Nate Silver’s sees numbers they don’t like, they just wish them away. He did the same Donald Trump right about this
time when I was saying look all the numbers are super real, he’s gonna win the Republican
nomination. People like Nate Silver would say I was crazy. It’s never gonna happen. No, I know likes Donald Trump. That doesn’t mean god damn thing. And the reason I get more mad at Nate Silver
is because his job is supposed to be numbers. If he was a normal jackass pundit on television,
I’d be like, it’s Tuesday. The American people said that millionaires,
should keep their tax cuts. That’s what I heard, my millionaire friends,
right? That’s normal stuff. But Nate can’t even see numbers straight.>>Yeah, I mean look I’m not really surprised. I think that his commentary and his hostility
toward progressive candidates is well documented, but I do wanna get back to some of the other
findings of this poll. And then I wanna kinda give you my theory
and then can brag about his predictions.>>Yes.>>Yeah. I know, that’s what he’s waiting for the most. So here’s some more findings that it’s just
fascinating. Biden also slipped 18 points among Democratic
voters who described themselves as moderate or conservative, and 9 points among self-identified
liberals. Okay, let’s pause for a second. Self-identified moderates stopped supporting
Biden. According to the responses from this poll,
and just quickly I wanna give you my theory. Look, Biden, yes there have been a number
of gaps, he’s also been MIA when it comes to, in my opinion, important campaign stops,
and rallys. And you know in terms of like strategizing
and garnering more support or solidifying more support in the Democratic base. He’s been you know, MIA he’s kind of ripping
a page out of Hillary Clinton’s playbook, which I think is a giant mistake. And then you have the progressive candidates,
and what have they been doing? They’ve been making it rain with policy proposals,
right? And they’re robust, they’re bold. I mean Bernie Sanders with his Green New Deal
proposal actual legislation that came out last week, and it was wonderful, right? And so, they’re coming out strong. They’re hitting Mitch McConnell where it hurts. We have a story in the rundown today, where
Bernie Sanders went to Kentucky and he called out Mitch McConnell for completely neglecting
struggling coworkers. These are candidates who actually care about
the issues and they’re not afraid to propose a bold solutions to very real issues Americans
are facing today. I think when you combine all these different
elements that is reflected in this poll, the response from Democratic voters is reflected
in this poll and it’s great.>>Yeah, so I wanna clarify one thing and
then brag. So this poll was conducted between August
16th and 20th, so they hadn’t seen the Green New Deal proposal yet. But-
>>But there have been so many others.>>Yeah, that’s what I was gonna say. But he did Criminal Justice Reform proposal
that was very bold. But it’s one of many in a pattern. First, Elizabeth Warren had come out with
a lot of proposals, and then Bernie, now, has doubled down in his number of proposals. And so, now, if you’re someone who’s a progressive
you see those, or just any Democratic voter based on the numbers, you will look that they’re
coming out with interesting ideas and look like they’re fighting for me and these are
things that I agree with. If you’re in the establishment, and I have
to clarify this cuz both sides don’t understand each other at all cuz we live in different
bubbles. In the establishment, they look at those proposals,
especially by Bernie Sanders, and go, no one would care about those. Those are not big events, because obviously,
those are unrealistic. Everyone in Washington says so. Obviously, we’re not gonna do those, cuz that
would hurt oil companies, etc. And Nate Silver doesn’t have to think about
oil companies, he just is part of the group thing, and everyone in that toxic stew thinks
there’s no way that the American people would be interested in progressive ideas. Nate, look at the polling on every single
issue, I mean, I’ve literally gone through dozens of issues that have been polled. The American people are 60% to 80% in favor
of progressive issues. The number that keeps popping up in like half
the polls is 66%. 66%, that’s two thirds of the country, okay? On massively progressive values and issues
etc. But when Warren and Sanders defend those everyone
on the establishment goes, that’s not a big deal they can’t be a real. Now finally, Warren has broken through a little
bit, and they get, she has a plan for that. And so they’ve given her some positive coverage. But remember, Bernie’s still in the race. Okay, so that finally leads me to what I told
you guys recently. When the last set of polls came out, showing
that Warren was closing in on Biden big time and Biden was fading, here’s what I said. The Biden fade has begun. So now we got a poll out of Iowa. I believe that’s a fairly relevant state. It’s starting line, a change polls and in
new, we’ve got a new leader. Elizabeth Warren, in fact Joe Biden has now
tied with Bernie Sanders. So depending on how you want to frame it,
for second tied for third and fading and fading. Warren now has an 11 point lead in Iowa against
Biden. Now here’s the thing, you say hey, that’s
just one poll and you could talk about hey, you know, what is the the credibility of that
poll, etc. But guys, it doesn’t really matter. Does anyone think that Joe Biden after losing
the lead is gonna retake the lead? No one that knows politics thinks that, once
the fate begins, its goodnight Irene. And here we are night. So maybe Nate and Joe Scarborough, and everybody
else in Washington thinks Snow Biden is amazing politician and he’ll mount a comeback. I’m here to tell you and I’ve been proven
right about a thousand times over, that he will not make a comeback. He has no ability to make a political comeback. Once the fade begins, it’s terminal, and it
has already begun. So I told you that ten days ago, when the
polling showed what we thought it was gonna show, based on what we know about politics. And the reason why we do predictions, yes,
it’s fun, yes, I get a big head over it, but really, the main reason is so you know that
we’re not full of it. We’re not Monday morning quarterbacking it,
we told you ahead of time. And, part of the reason we do that is because,
everyone else in media says we’re wrong. So, I say, okay great, why don’t we do a test. I’ll tell you ahead of time what’s gonna happen,
they can tell you ahead of time, and let’s see who’s right. And time and time again, we’re shown to be
right on this show.>>Luckily they give us credit after we’re
proving.>>Yeah, everytime. They never once said, yeah, they were right,
we were wrong. The most important part of that is we were
wrong. Who cares about us being right. The phenomenon is what’s important.>>Yes.>>And so even that we told them, news is
very defeatable. I saw lose my own eyes in 2008 they’re like,
no, no, she can’t be beat. No way. Trevor has no chance, no chance. And okay, that’s the past. Have you learned anything? No, haven’t learned anything all of Washington. And right now they’re like I said, there’s
there’s no chance of winning. I don’t know maybe, but come on really progressive. I mean that none of our ideas are going to
get implemented. Maybe it’ll be cute that she’ll win. We’re not gonna do any those goddamn things
and they really can’t see that their bias. So one last one for you guys today then, look,
I think there’s an excellent chance that Biden doesn’t even make it to Iowa. He’s not even in the race when the voting
begins. Because if this fade continues where on August
he’s gasping for air, he ain’t gonna make it to January. So either he’s gonna want to get humiliated
coming third, fifth seventh. No, there’s an excellent chance he leaves
the race before we have a single vote. Now, on the other end, Donald Trump is a certifiable
lunatic. And he keeps saying things that are crazier
and crazier every single day. So I still believe I’ve said this from day
one and I still believe today. There’s also a very good chance Donald Trump
doesn’t make the election. So the mainstream media for the last six months,
nine months, have been talking Biden versus Trump. It might be neither. I would argue, it’s actually fairly likely
to be neither.